Sir Benjamin Nunn
2005-01-25 17:22:51 UTC
Looking for some advice on Party ring games.
I've been playing B&M poker reasonably successfully for a few years, and
have also proven profitable in three years of online tournament play at low
levels.
Last year, I decided to concentrate seriously on Limit ring games online for
the first time and build a big bankroll. I chose Party, as the weakest,
fishiest players were said to be there.
My bankroll conditions are these: Move up to the next limit when I reach 325
BBs at the next level, and drop down when I go below 275 BBs at my current
level.
I play tight-agressive (where 'tight' means tighter than the table I'm
sitting at), I put a lot of emphasis on odds and outs (in the absence of
proper reads online), and like to play speculative hands - suited
connectors, small pockets, Axs etc. - creatively in multiway pots where the
EV is positive.
I fold when I don't hit, and I fold when a raise tells me I'm beaten. I
don't try to bluff and steal against rubbish players. I know how to bet to
get a free turn card, and for information.
I'm not stupid.
But I got fucking burned badly, even at 2/4. The dedicated Party bankroll
diminished, I dropped to 1/2 and then 0.50/1 and got killed every time. The
speculative draws hit less than they should, the only pots I won were
small... complete fucking nightmare.
I started tracking my play with Pokertracker, which could be a very useful
tool, but what's the point when it just tells you that you're getting
unlucky, and pointing out that the fish are making a profit...
So I gave up.
A while later, after winning a tournament on Pacific, I decided to have a go
at the real games there. And my experience was *completely* different.
The usual bad beats and suckouts occurred, and the fish were annoying at
times... but by playing solid, tight-aggressive poker I was able to win over
time, move up through the limits, and build a bankroll for the middle limit
games within about 15,000 hands.
It was also pretty entertaining, as on a table where 75% see the flop, you
can play half the hands, and still be playing optimal poker.
But Pacific's software is crap. Their cashout policy is crap. You can't
multitable, and you can't use Pokertracker.
It is easy money, but I'd rather be earning it on Party, so I moved a bit of
bankroll (enough to start at 0.50/1) to see if anything had changed.
Of course, it hasn't. I'm still losing at Party, and the fish are still
winning. Pokertracker doesn't lie. So what can I do to improve this?
Why can I beat a loose 5-10 game consistently over 4000 hands, making about
2.5BB/100 hands, but I cannot beat a loose 0.50/1.00 game that plays in a
very similar way?
Of course, because Pokertracker doesn't support Pacific, I can't even
compare the statistics that matter to see what I'm doing differently, if
anything.
Some of my stats for Party (from around 4000 hands in Pokertracker):
AA
win % 57.14
BB/hand 0.89
KK
win % 62.50
BB/hand 0.99
QQ
win % 56.25
BB/hand 0.91
JJ
win % 47.37
BB/hand 0.80
TT
win % 29.41
BB/hand -0.76
AKs
win % 60.00
BB/hand 1.07
AKo
win % 56.25
BB/hand 1.41
AQs
win % 33.33
BB/hand -1.21
AQo
win % 30.77
BB/hand -0.24
These are all less profitable than they should be statistically (because of
my aggression preflop, I should win slightly more than statistical expection
for these hands, to account for the times when someone folds a hand to my
preflop raise that would've gone on to win).
I know that variance happens. I know that players get cold-decked. I know
that theoretically a 6000-hand bad run could just happen to coincide with
the first 6000 hands a player happened to play at any given site...
But what the fuck can I do? I'm trying to avoid the 'rigged' argument if
possible, but I would like to be a winning player on Party, move up to a
proper limit, not fucking stupid 1/2, and be able to make it my regular site
for ring gaming.
Will it all even itself in my favour in the long run?
BTN
I've been playing B&M poker reasonably successfully for a few years, and
have also proven profitable in three years of online tournament play at low
levels.
Last year, I decided to concentrate seriously on Limit ring games online for
the first time and build a big bankroll. I chose Party, as the weakest,
fishiest players were said to be there.
My bankroll conditions are these: Move up to the next limit when I reach 325
BBs at the next level, and drop down when I go below 275 BBs at my current
level.
I play tight-agressive (where 'tight' means tighter than the table I'm
sitting at), I put a lot of emphasis on odds and outs (in the absence of
proper reads online), and like to play speculative hands - suited
connectors, small pockets, Axs etc. - creatively in multiway pots where the
EV is positive.
I fold when I don't hit, and I fold when a raise tells me I'm beaten. I
don't try to bluff and steal against rubbish players. I know how to bet to
get a free turn card, and for information.
I'm not stupid.
But I got fucking burned badly, even at 2/4. The dedicated Party bankroll
diminished, I dropped to 1/2 and then 0.50/1 and got killed every time. The
speculative draws hit less than they should, the only pots I won were
small... complete fucking nightmare.
I started tracking my play with Pokertracker, which could be a very useful
tool, but what's the point when it just tells you that you're getting
unlucky, and pointing out that the fish are making a profit...
So I gave up.
A while later, after winning a tournament on Pacific, I decided to have a go
at the real games there. And my experience was *completely* different.
The usual bad beats and suckouts occurred, and the fish were annoying at
times... but by playing solid, tight-aggressive poker I was able to win over
time, move up through the limits, and build a bankroll for the middle limit
games within about 15,000 hands.
It was also pretty entertaining, as on a table where 75% see the flop, you
can play half the hands, and still be playing optimal poker.
But Pacific's software is crap. Their cashout policy is crap. You can't
multitable, and you can't use Pokertracker.
It is easy money, but I'd rather be earning it on Party, so I moved a bit of
bankroll (enough to start at 0.50/1) to see if anything had changed.
Of course, it hasn't. I'm still losing at Party, and the fish are still
winning. Pokertracker doesn't lie. So what can I do to improve this?
Why can I beat a loose 5-10 game consistently over 4000 hands, making about
2.5BB/100 hands, but I cannot beat a loose 0.50/1.00 game that plays in a
very similar way?
Of course, because Pokertracker doesn't support Pacific, I can't even
compare the statistics that matter to see what I'm doing differently, if
anything.
Some of my stats for Party (from around 4000 hands in Pokertracker):
AA
win % 57.14
BB/hand 0.89
KK
win % 62.50
BB/hand 0.99
win % 56.25
BB/hand 0.91
JJ
win % 47.37
BB/hand 0.80
TT
win % 29.41
BB/hand -0.76
AKs
win % 60.00
BB/hand 1.07
AKo
win % 56.25
BB/hand 1.41
AQs
win % 33.33
BB/hand -1.21
AQo
win % 30.77
BB/hand -0.24
These are all less profitable than they should be statistically (because of
my aggression preflop, I should win slightly more than statistical expection
for these hands, to account for the times when someone folds a hand to my
preflop raise that would've gone on to win).
I know that variance happens. I know that players get cold-decked. I know
that theoretically a 6000-hand bad run could just happen to coincide with
the first 6000 hands a player happened to play at any given site...
But what the fuck can I do? I'm trying to avoid the 'rigged' argument if
possible, but I would like to be a winning player on Party, move up to a
proper limit, not fucking stupid 1/2, and be able to make it my regular site
for ring gaming.
Will it all even itself in my favour in the long run?
BTN